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I believe in his Fooled by Randomness 1st published mid 2001 he talked about a Black Swan event of a plane running into a building, getting a jump on 9/11 by a few months, making him look like a savant to everyone who exactly didn’t grasp his point.

COVID is not his 1st instance of getting infatuated with really bad science - the man does love him some Black Swan fear porn. He’s been very big on the “better assume climate change is real just in case.” Due to his massive ego, he simply shuts down anyone who brings up plausible counter arguments.

Having said that, his books are absolute “must read.”

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