The Psychology of The Inevitable
May 1, 2016
I have no idea who will win the Indiana primary 72 hours from the time I write. But the people inside Ted Cruz’s campaign seem to have an idea. And it’s not good for them. Cruz’s top team expects their candidate to lose. And Senator Cruz seems to have accepted that outcome. Expectations Matter More Than Preferences Regular readers know that polls that ask “who do you think will win” trump polls that ask “who do you intend to vote for” or even “who did you vote for?
How a Strategist Looks at the Supreme Court Nomination Battle
April 2, 2016
In a moment, we’re going to look the Supreme Court nomination of Merrick Garland and find the best strategy for Senate Republicans. In a moment. First, let’s just relax and think about a party. And pretend you’re a paid strategist. Hennessy’s View Podcast: [soundcloud url=“https://api.soundcloud.com/tracks/256943967” params=“auto_play=false&hide_related=false&show_comments=true&show_user=true&show_reposts=false&visual=true” width=“100%” height=“450” iframe=“true” /] Party Now or Party Later? Tim and Mary Johnson want to have a party for their friends. They’ve been talking about it since spring, and now it’s nearly winter.
Here’s What Happens Now That Boehner’s “Plan B” Went Down In Flames
December 21, 2012
Now that Boehner’s “Plan B” strategy has blown up like a poisoned dog, here’s what Boehner will do. Remember this chart from last month? It shows strategic options from John Boehner’s point of view: Yesterday, Boehner tried to land about halfway between the top and bottom quadrant on the left, shown here Now that Plan B has been rejected, Boehner’s choices are limited to these: * Adjourn and hit the fiscal cliff * Cut a deal that will earn most Democrat votes and enough Republican votes to pass