Hennessy's View

This Is The Infographic That The Whole Republican Party Is Freaking Out About

The 3 million McCain voters who didn’t vote for Romney? They’re dead. [Click image to view full size. Please forward, download, and print. This is important.] To survive, the GOP needs to stop being afraid of Millennials and tell them truth: they can move out of mom and dad’s house, they can drop out of school, they can quit their dead-end job with the idiot supervisor. But they can’t get away from government and debt. Read more →

Stop The Crazy Talk: Vote Fraud Didn’t Cost Romney The Election

I wrote yesterday that if you need someone to blame, blame me. Don’t blame bogeymen. Yes, vote fraud is real. Voter rolls in most states need to be cleaned up. Voter intimidation should be harshly prosecuted. You can sign up at True the Vote or Missouri Precinct Project to take effective, useful action. These organizations do vital work, and they both need more volunteers. Using vote fraud, however, as an excuse for secession or for blocking the Electoral College vote is neither effective nor useful. Read more →

Here’s My Electoral Map Prediction

Related articles * MITTMENTUM: Romney Ahead 60-40 on the Amazon Electoral Heat Map. Hey, let’s hope Tuesday night’s m… (pjmedia.com) * Electoral College Map Prediction (johnwsmart.net) * Please God: Pundit Predicts 1980 Reagan-like Blow Out for Romney (givemeliberty01.com) * Barone: Romney wins, handily (politico.com) Yes, I’m feeling a wave toward Romney. Read more →

Mitt Romney’s Cleaning Up in Early Voting, but It’s Confused the Hell Out of Politico

Gallup released its early voting poll today, and it shows Mitt Romney winning 52% to 45%—right in line with their Likely Voter poll numbers. Here’s the chart. Politico Reporter Can’t Read But Gallup’s section on early voting by party ID completely lost Politico’s Kevin Robillard. Robillard looked at the chart that shows when voters intend to vote by party and candidate and mistook it for voting results. This poll question shows that those who support Obama as as likely to vote early as are those who support Romney. Read more →

What The Pollsters Aren’t Telling You

Polls do influence elections. That’s why people like Nate Silver and some of the writers at Business Insider are doing somersaults over Gallup’s Daily Presidential Tracking numbers. For over a week, Gallup has shown a tidal wave for support for Mitt Romney. Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight tried to discredit Gallup by blogging about outlier results it’s shown in past years. Here’s the conclusion Business Insider reached: Bottom line: Gallup swings wildly and it frequently has results not in line with other pollsters. Read more →

Now We Know Why Mitt Romney Has Been Wildly Successful In Life

Barack Obama’s performance was not nearly as bad as Romney’s performance was good. Not good—terrific. I’m not talking about his politics and policies; I’m talking Romney’s remarkable presence. Here are the four principles of presence that Romney knocked out of the park. Command of the Facts When it came to facts—and to how those facts matter to the listeners—Mitt Romney seemed more prepared for the office of President than the President. Read more →

Is the Romney Campaign Serious About Winning?

Related articles The Romney Campaign today reminded me of the McCain Campaign of 2008. I’m pretty good at ignoring bogus, fraudulent polls like the one CNN released tonight. In that poll, CNN announced a massive 52-46 national lead for Obama. If true, the race would be all but over. CNN, of course, cooked the books on this one. Read more →

Game Theory and the Ryan Pick

Related articles If Mitt Romney applied game theory in choosing Paul Ryan, I have renewed respect for him. I’ll explain why, but first a bit of background on game theory. Game theory is a branch of social science concerned with strategic decision-making. It is most closely associated with economics. Professor John Nash, the subject of the movie A Beautiful Mind, won a Nobel Prize in Economics for his work in game theory. Read more →