Hennessy's View

Trump knocks Rubio out of the news cycle

That was a strategic kill-shot, to borrow Scott Adams’s word. And it changes everything for conservatives. After a so-so debate performance and in the middle of a 16-hour verbal assault from Marco Rubio, Trump went nuclear. But not the way everyone would expect Trump to go nuclear. Trump didn’t need to invent a brilliant new put-down line to counter Marco. Instead, he calmly introduced Chris Christie to 10,000 fans in Texas. Read more →

Do Republican elites know something they’re not telling?

Reading two excellent articles by Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight (here and here), I remembered a thought that passed through my mind last Friday. After reading some of National Review’s “Against Trump” issue,I wrote blog post. To me the NR issue showed the magazine is out of touch with voters. I’m not talking about traditional, reliable, motivated, and informed primary voters.** I’m talking about the broader pool of voters who vote in general elections every four, eight, or twelve years** and occasionally in local elections. Read more →

How Missouri Republicans Made Jay Nixon Look Like a Statesman

You know how reckless and tone-deaf Obama is about Army deserters? Missouri’s House and Senate Republican leaders are just as clueless and irresponsible about money. Yes, I said it: the Missouri Republican legislature is about as conservative and principled as Susan Rice on a Sunday talk show. By going on a votes-for-cash spending spree on the last day of the General Assembly, the House and Senate handed Jay “Idiot” Nixon a PR prize worth its weight in pork. Read more →

Trust Is a Bigger Problem for GOP Than Marketing

The GOP’s self-examination on the 2012 election debacle rightly identifies marketing and messaging and lack of a ground game as contributors to that mess. But the GOP’s self-exam missed a potentially fatal problem for the party: the American people simply do not trust Republicans on the budget. Read this paragraph from The Hill carefully. Read all of it. It should tell you everything you need to know. More voters trust the Democratic Party than the Republican Party on budgetary issues, according to the results of a new poll for The Hill — even though a strong majority actually prefer Republican fiscal policies [emphases added]. Read more →

Republicans Lose Because They Don’t Attract Enough Conservatives

For 20 years, the Battleground Poll of States (now the Politico/GW Battleground Poll) showed a freakish consistency about ideology. 2009: 59% Conservative 2012: 57% Conservative With almost 60% calling themselves somewhat or very conservative, how could Barack Obama get re-elected? How could Republicans fail to gain the Senate in 2010 and 2012? Come to think of it, how do Democrats win at all? The answer is simple: being conservative doesn’t make you Republican, but being Democrat makes you a liberal. Read more →

The Best Grilling Of Bernanke Came From Senator Elizabeth Warren And Republicans Should Be Ashamed

I agree with Republican Senator Corker that inflation is a danger in the future. But inflation doesn’t win the hearts and minds of most Americans right now. No one’s worried about it except economists and economics geeks. The death of the community and regional bank, however, does bother people. As does the printing of money that goes straight into the 5 biggest banks in history … and stays there. The US Government bailed out those 5 “too big to fail” banks in 2008 and it’s been propping them up with our money ever since. Read more →

Why GOP Pandering to Young Voters Backfires

Marco Rubio gave the Republican response to the State of the Union address for two reasons. First, Rubio’s Cuban, and the GOP wants to court Latinos. Second, Rubio’s relatively young, and the GOP wants to stop the bleeding when it comes to young voters. But there’s a fundamental problem with the Republican approach, and it stems from the GOP’s least favorite discipline: behavioral science. Young People Are Naturally Skeptical You hear about scams that target older folks all the time. Read more →

Why The Sequester Is Worse Now Than It Will Be After It Happens

Welcome Dr. Gina Show Listeners! Republicans should announce “the sequester won’t be so bad” and shut up, and science tells us why. Obama, the Dems, liberal pundits, the press, and even John Boehner are running around yelling about how horrible the sequester will be. In some deep recesses of our minds, we agree. “Oh, my God! We’re all going to do die!” Fear-mongering only works in the future because, in short, nothing is as bad (or as good) as we think it will be when we think about it. Read more →